You Win Or You DieThe A.V. Club’s weekly dead pool where we place our bets on who we think will die in this week’s Game Of Thrones episode. The advancing army of the dead notwithstanding, there’s never been a safer time to live in Westeros—provided you’re not the little lord of Last Hearth, a moonlighting star of a cable comedy, or a dragon’s lunch. And that’s a trend that’s likely to continue for at least one more week, according to our trusted expert in these matters, Benjamin Eckstein. The oddsmaker held off on adding any new names to his kill list this week, saving the big names for the big dance with the White Walkers that appears to be set for next week. So you might not make a splash in the dead pool this week, but brace yourself for some waves in episode three.
4-1 Tormund Giantsbane
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: Feeling there is not gonna be much action in episode two maybe until the end, when Tormund bites it.
The A.V. Club says: It’s our guess that Tormund survives until the big battle. At the very least, he has to make eyes at Brienne one last time.
5-1 Theon Greyjoy
10-1 Beric Dondarrion
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: Don’t really have a handle on this one because we believe that Beric is kind of insignificant.
The A.V. Club says: If Arya is delivering her “death has many faces” address to any living person this week, might it be the one-eyed, many-times-dead leader of the Brotherhood Without Banners, whom Arya has not forgiven for selling Gendry to Melisandre?
10-1 Bronn
15-1 Davos Seaworth
20-1 Gilly
25-1 Varys
50-1 Samwell Tarly
Over/under on named characters dying: 0.5
Eckstein the oddsmaker says: Everyone jumped on me for making the over/under on deaths of named characters only a 0.5, and we’re gonna go the same exact way again.
Prophecies for prophet
Note: Bets placed here stay active throughout the course of the show.
Jon Snow will tell Dany they’re related:
2-1 In the first 1-20 minutes of episode two
3-1 In the 21-40 minute block of episode two
5-1 In the 41-58 minute block of episode two
20-1 Jon does not tell Dany
2-1 Arya’s secret weapon is meant to take down the Night King
The A.V. Club says: The plans she handed Gendry call for a dragonglass blade, and as we learned last season, when you take out a White Walker, you take out all the wights they created—ergo take out the Night King and the whole house of frozen cards comes tumbling down. Perhaps it’s Arya’s ultimate assassin mission to work her way toward the Night King and stick him with this custommade Swiss Army knife.
Previous prophecies for profit that are still in play:
5-1 Jon will slay the ice dragon
25-1 Bran is the Night King
2-1 The Hound emerges victorious in CleganeBowl
5-1 The Mountain emerges victorious in CleganeBowl
10-1 Someone else wins CleganeBowl
3-1 Jon Snow and Daenerys Targaryen will sit on the throne together at the end of the series
4-5 Jaime Lannister kills Cersei
2-1 Arya kills Cersei
8-1 Tyrion Lannister kills Cersei
6-5 Anyone else kills Cersei
6-5 Drogon dies from poison absorbed through his arrow wound
3-1 Euron is the father of Cersei’s baby
5-1 Jaime is the father of Cersei’s baby
10-1 The Mountain is the father of Cersei’s baby
100-1 Cersei has a dragon baby
When do Jon and Daenerys learn they’re related? 2.5 episodes over/under (Remember, that’s Jon and Daenerys.)
2-1 The Night King kills Jon
10-1 Jon kills the Night King
50-1 The Night King kills Jaime
50-1 Jaime kills the Night King
Danette Chavez
$90 ($5 Jon-Dany under still in play)
$5 on Theon, and $5 on Jon not being the one who tells Dany
Alex McLevy
$85 ($10 on Jon-Dany over still in play)
$10 on Beric
Caitlin PenzeyMoog
$80 ($5 on Jon-Dany under still in play)
$5 on the over on total deaths, $5 on Jon telling Dany in the 21-40 minute block
Baraka Kaseko
$70 ($20 on Jon-Dany under still in play)
$5 Jon tells Dany they’re related in the 41-58 minute block, and $10 over on total deaths
Stephanie Potakis
$63 ($10 on Jaime killing the Night King, $7 on the Jon-Dany over still in play)
$5 on Jon telling Dany they’re related in the first 20 minutes. We need this conflict at the beginning of the episode so by the end we have it solved and we can focus on battle for episode three. Based on the images they released for episode two a lot of soup and gruel will be consumed while debating what Dany and Snow will do with this information.
Kelsey J. Waite
$60 ($20 Jon/Dany under)
$5 over on total deaths at 0.5, $5 Jon does not tell Dany in episode two
Marah Eakin
$35 ($30 on Jon-Dany under, $5 on Jon killing the Night King, $5 on the Night King killing Jaime still in play)
$5 on Jon telling Dany they’re related in the last 20 minutes
Travis Tessmer
$34 ($20 on Hound winning CleganeBowl, $30 on Jon kills the Night King, $5 on Jon/Danny over, $1 on Cersei has a dragon baby still in play)
It’s so hard to say, but no new wagers. I don’t think anyone’s gonna die this time! And I’m not risking any money on when Dany will find out because it happened so quick last time, I no longer know what the show’s pacing is going to do.
